Description

This analysis provides a forecast of AVAX prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-10-12 19.052363 22.001489 25.185259 28.869114 33.005094 37.496104 42.732135
2025-10-19 13.992318 18.062403 22.873331 28.936462 36.326789 44.992744 55.869519
2025-10-26 11.006208 15.534094 21.282962 29.020233 39.050799 51.494272 67.960779
2025-11-02 8.823701 13.460184 19.720094 28.624376 40.770393 56.542172 78.312784
2025-11-09 7.192601 11.777633 18.320512 28.094282 42.029911 60.847811 87.767318
2025-11-16 5.919060 10.360558 17.033759 27.459277 42.929934 64.561320 96.493389
2025-11-23 4.805346 8.982401 15.581556 26.344837 42.932290 66.893462 103.308796
2025-11-30 4.331578 8.553839 15.507434 27.254297 45.917982 73.588353 116.619125
2025-12-07 3.937145 8.190723 15.475011 28.188834 48.963107 80.500814 130.576520
2025-12-14 3.353034 7.387932 14.598992 27.636358 49.586756 83.756077 139.209161
2025-12-21 2.835071 6.618936 13.675565 26.884615 49.782970 86.302261 146.824905
2025-12-28 2.695321 6.573537 14.040161 28.380471 53.777727 95.002741 164.367620
2026-01-04 2.514102 6.441375 14.276921 29.760824 57.836701 104.295894 183.765949
2026-01-11 2.220771 6.023757 13.927887 30.060363 60.096407 110.878352 199.343186
2026-01-18 1.950278 5.604014 13.515012 30.186156 62.040254 117.032526 214.537051
2026-01-25 1.672756 5.108454 12.872375 29.783273 62.964228 121.474996 227.081760
2026-02-01 1.425709 4.633103 12.200638 29.235919 63.548095 125.323960 238.773928
2026-02-08 1.208330 4.184074 11.517834 28.579023 63.845210 128.646618 249.682751
2026-02-15 0.994501 3.690116 10.652392 27.425687 63.054890 129.932143 257.057525
2026-02-22 0.924493 3.600977 10.742722 28.366936 66.505675 139.132813 278.829978
2026-03-01 0.861815 3.520356 10.842212 29.333975 70.067530 148.707108 301.673345
2026-03-08 0.736564 3.206222 10.298576 28.762305 70.384895 152.178259 313.589770
2026-03-15 0.620992 2.890521 9.698510 27.984355 70.190088 154.634324 323.719389